Active Shooters

Knowing what to listen for can prevent insider attacks

Perceived injustice sparks shooting

The nation and especially Colorado are again reeling from another student turned active shooter.  The tragedy of the latest school shooting left two students wounded and the shooter dead from a self-inflicted shotgun wound. A motive for the shooter’s rampage quickly emerged in the press.  It was cited that that he sought to avenge his demotion on the debate team and when he entered the school, he verbalized he was seeking the teacher who demoted him.

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In trying to understand what makes someone turn into an active shooter researchers have categorized threat types. Given that this shooter was a student who attended the school he attacked, he is labeled an “Insider”.  And on the surface, the attack appears to be reactive as the motive that is known at this juncture makes it appear as if he was responding quickly to a slight he endured.  However, the weaponry compiled by the shooter and the announcement of his target indicates a well-planned, proactive attack. Understanding what makes up an active shooter is an important component of developing effective countermeasures.  

Thought out and planned 

Academics who study shootings tell us that people don’t just snap.  Rather, there is an escalation by the shooter that includes preparation and broadcasting of his intent.  In this case, the shooter gathered a shotgun, an ammo belt with ammo and a machete.  He made Molotov cocktails, packed them in a backpack and set out. He entered the school with a grudge and was in a mental state prepared to shoot another human.  

The motive of a reactive “revenge” killing is plausible but it does seem that his issues may have been piling up on him for a long time.  Press stories reveal the shooter was a gifted student who was outspoken and bullied for his beliefs. He was also enduring the recent divorce of his parents.  In the post-event analysis, it may come out that these factors contributed to this escalation.  It is likely to be revealed that the shooter did broadcast his intentions prior to the event as is typical of active shooters.  

Reaction to a broadcast….albeit late in the game

It is known that at the time of the attack the shooter did broadcast his intentions.  When he entered the school, he announced he was looking for the teacher who allegedly wronged him.  Quick thinking by those who heard this broadcast alerted that teacher who, in turn, fled the building. Law enforcement credited the flight as a good tactical decision which removed shooter’s intended target from his equation.  If the reports are accurate, the event lasted less than 90 seconds and the shooter was found dead inside the school within 20 minutes of it happening.  Getting the target out of the building may have shortened the event and saved lives.  

Active shooters intend more than death and end up leaving clues 

Active shooters can also be called avengers and avengers perceive an injustice. They announce their intentions ahead of time because they are similar to the stalker and the serial killer.  Their actions are not a cry for help; rather they do it for the thrill.  Avengers need to be remembered and they need to inflict psychological damage as well as physical.  This is their “fun”.  As an insider, this shooter broadcast his intentions on a specific target – the teacher. Outsiders, it is believed, triangulate their actions.  Their motives are more difficult to discern.  None-the-less, because of their need to be remembered and inflict psychological damage leaves them vulnerable to detection prior to the event.  

Shooter’s pre-event language is the key to detection

There is a point in time prior to an active shooting called the Pre-Event Threshold.  During this time, potential active shooters display certain behaviors and of critical importance utilize revealing language.  Being tuned into this language is necessary to stopping such events:  

1. Avengers start by perceiving an injustice
2. Avengers then feel victimized…listen for “because” or “but” in their language.
3. Avengers then externalize…..listen for “you”, “he”, “she”, “them”, “they” in their sentences. 
4. Avengers will then develop a grudge.  
5. Avengers will then become obsessed with the grudge.  This can be seen as a closed loop in their thinking.  All that they do or say is related to their obsession. 
6. Avengers finally take action.  They perceive it as their only option.

If a person is behaving in this manner, they are likely on a path to becoming an active shooter.  This intelligence should be believed and acted upon.  

A word of caution; be aware of people who minimize this information.  They reveal themselves by using the word “just” in sentences like “he’s just having a bad day”.  Don’t be fooled into ignoring this intelligence because you may be overlooking an obvious threat.  

I would like to acknowledge a significant influence for this post was Dr. John Nicoletti who explained these principals in a speech he gave at a safe school symposium held at Columbine High School in 2013